Monthly Archives: February 2011

Ronald Wilson Reagan part 27

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President Reagan makes remarks to the crowd as Nancy Reagan, Frank Sinatra, James Stewart, Virgil Thompson, Katherine Dunham, and Elia Kazan look on in the East Room during a reception in Honor of Kennedy Center award recipients. 12/4/83.

Jimmy Stewart gets academy award in 1940

Above you will notice a picture of Jimmy Stewart. Stewart’s father Alex owned a hardware store in Indiana, PA. For his work in The Philadelphia Story, Stewart won the 1940 Academy Award for Best Actor. On the night of his win, the story goes, after a swirl of post-Oscar parties, the actor took a call from his dad, who wanted to confirm that his only son had won “some kind of prize.” “I heard about it on the radio,” Alex said. “Yeah, Dad,” his son replied. “It’s a Best Actor Award. They give ’em out every year. I won it for The Philadelphia Story.” “What kind of prize is it?” “It’s a kind of statuette. Looks like gold but isn’t. They call it the Oscar.” “Well, that’s fine, I guess. You’d better send it over. I’ll put it on show in the store where folks can take a look at it.” It remained there for the rest of Alex’s life.

The next few days I want to post some portions of an excellent article by Peggy Noonan “Ronald Reagan at 100,” (Wall Street Journal, Feb 3, 2011).

At the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library, in the foothills of the Santa Susana Mountain Range where old Hollywood directors shot Westerns, they will mark Sunday’s centenary of Reagan’s birth with events and speeches geared toward Monday’s opening of a rethought and renovated museum aimed at making his presidency more accessible to scholars and vividly available to the public. Fifty percent of the artifacts, officials note, have never been shown before—essays and short stories Reagan wrote in high school and college, the suit he wore the day he was shot, the condolence book signed by world leaders at his funeral. (Margaret Thatcher: “Well done, Thou good and faithful servant.”)

Much recently has been written about who he was—a good man who became a great president—but recent conversations about Reagan have me pondering some things he was not.

He wasn’t, for instance, sentimental, though he’s often thought of that way. His nature was marked by a characterological sweetness, and his impulse was to be kind and generous. (His daughter Patti Davis captured this last week in a beautifully remembered essay for Time.) But he wasn’t sentimental about people and events, or about history. Underlying all was a deep and natural skepticism. That, in a way, is why he was conservative. “If men were angels.” They are not, so we must limit the governmental power they might wield. But his skepticism didn’t leave him down. It left him laughing at the human condition, and at himself. Jim Baker, his first and great chief of staff, and his friend, remembered the other day the atmosphere of merriness around Reagan, the constant flow of humor.

But there was often a genial blackness to it, a mordant edge. In a classic Reagan joke, a man says sympathetically to his friend, “I’m so sorry your wife ran away with the gardener.” The guy answers, “It’s OK, I was going to fire him anyway.” Or: As winter began, the young teacher sought to impart to her third-graders the importance of dressing warmly. She told the heart-rending story of her little brother, a fun-loving boy who went out with his sled and stayed out too long, caught a cold, then pneumonia, and days later died. There was dead silence in the schoolroom as they took it in. She knew she’d gotten through. Then a voice came from the back: “Where’s the sled?”

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Little known presidential facts:

  • An anarchist and lawyer named Charles Guiteau shot James Garfield in the back with a five-barrel, .44-caliber pistol called a British Bulldog in 1881. He said he chose the gun because it would look good on a display in a museum someday. No one currently knows where the gun is.b
  • The first attempt to assassinate a president was on Andrew Jackson by Richard Lawrence, a house painter. Both of his guns misfired, however—an event that statisticians say could occur only once in 125,000 times. Andrew Jackson then chased Lawrence with his walking stick.j
  • Ronald Wilson Reagan Part 26(How to cure inflation)

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    Pt 3 Friedman on how to cure inflation

    Tennessee Ernie Ford & Lucy video clip

    Below you will see a picture of Lucy with the Reagans. Last night my wife and I watched an episode of  “I Love Lucy” with cousin Ernie. It was great. You will notice a clip from that show above.

    Reagan deserves credit for bringing inflation down. Take a look at the clip above from Milton Friedman’s film series. The strategy that Reagan adopted is in the 30 minute program which I have posted the last 3 days. Reagan bought into what Friedman had put forth. The liberals had all criticized it before Reagan’s strategy was put into practice. William A. Niskanen and Stephen Moore have sent the record straight in their October 22, 1996 paper “Supply-Side Tax Cuts and the Truth about the Reagan Economic Record.”

    The late Walter Heller, a Keynesian who had served as John Kennedy’s chief economic adviser, summarized the conventional wisdom most succinctly in 1980: “The[Reagan] tax cut would simply overwhelm our existing productive capacity with a tidal wave of demand,” thus accelerating inflation.

    Amazingly, even after inflation had fallen by more than half by late 1982, Reagan’s skeptics believed the progress on prices was a temporary aberration. Economist Paul Krugman, now of Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and Larry Summers of the Clinton Treasury Department warned in November 1982 of a coming “inflation time bomb.” “It is reasonable to expect a significant re-acceleration of inflation in the near future,” they wrote. “A significant portion of the slowing of consumer price inflation since 1980 does not represent a reduction in the underlying rate.”

    Here are the simple facts: Jimmy Carter took office in 1977 and there was 6.5 inflation. That was followed the next year by 7.6%, then 11.3% and finally 13.5% in 1980. At this point I saw the film by Milton Friedman on how to cure inflation. What was the result over the next few years? I had read that Friedman’s policies had been put into place at the Fed in 1979 and here are the results: 1981- 10.3%, 82-6.2%, and 83-3.2%.

    President Reagan, Nancy Reagan, Tom Selleck, Dudley Moore, Lucille Ball at a Tribute to Bob Hope’s 80th birthday at the Kennedy Center. 5/20/83.

    Little known presidential facts:

    Ulysses S. Grant (born Hiram Ulysses Grant, 1822-1885) smoked at least 20 cigars a day and, after a brilliant war victory, a nation of well wishers sent him more than 10,000 cigars. He later died of throat cancer.i

      1. Dwight D. Eisenhower had an affair with his wartime driver, Kay Summersby (1908-1975). Kay later wrote a book called Past Forgetting: My Love Affair with Dwight D. Eisenhower in which she claims he was impotent.e
      2. John F. “Jack” Kennedy most likely had the most active extramarital sex life of any president. He allegedly slept with Marilyn Monroe, Jayne Mansfield, Audrey Hepburn, Angie Dickinson, stripper Blaze Starr, Marlene Dietrich, and many other women including White House staffers, secretaries, stewardess, campaign workers, strippers, and acquaintances of trusted male friends. The FBI taped sounds of him and Inga Arvad making love.d
    nasa
    Teddy Roosevelt and his family could walk in stilts
    1. Every member of Teddy Roosevelt’s family owned a pair of stilts, including the first lady.k

    Ronald Wilson Reagan Part 25(How to cure inflation)

    President Ronald Reagan’s 100th birthday anniversary

    Michael Jackson stands with President Reagan and first lady Nancy Reagan on the South Lawn of the White House before the pop star received an award from the president for his contribution to the drunken driving awareness program.

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    President Reagan and Nancy Reagan posing with Rock Hudson at White House State Dinner for President De La Madrid of Mexico. 5/15/84 .
    You will notice the picture of Rock Hudson above. I had read a story about Pat Boone getting to minister spiritually to Rock Hudson before he died. I had read earlier that Hudson had been an atheist earlier in his life, but I knew that many times people do revisit their beliefs when they get a terminal illness. Therefore, I called American Family Radio’s show “Today’s Issues” when they opened up for phone calls for their guest Pat Boone and here is basically what he said about his encounter with Rock Hudson:
    Roy was his real name, though the world knew him as Rock Hudson. A major, iconic movie star, he  was homosexual. But the world didn’t know that, until he was famously revealed to be dying of HIV/AIDS. He, and those close to him, knew well that if his sexual proclivities were known, he could never have been the superstar ladies’ man, the poster boy for handsome hunkdom. So he and those who profited from his stardom kept it quiet until almost the end. 

    My wife, three friends, and I were with him the night before he died. In his lovely, quiet Beverly Hills home, he was terribly ravaged by the disease.

    He couldn’t speak, and his emaciated body bore no resemblance to the one millions of women had dreamed of. But his eyes shone as our little group gathered by his bed to pray with, and for him. Obeying the admonition in James 5 in the New Testament, I poured a little oil on his bare chest and rubbed it in with my hand, praying for him to be healed and restored. He smiled gratefully at all of us.

    His countenance had brightened, and his friend/caregiver Tom exclaimed, “Roy, tomorrow is going to be a better day! I’ll lay out your ‘happy clothes’, and maybe you’ll feel good enough to get up . . . ”

    But early the next morning, as Tom opened the shutters to admit the first rays of the sun, Roy, in his “happy clothes,” slipped away to join  our friend Jesus. I believe, since he gave his last days to their Lord, we’ll be together again . . . and I so look forward to that.

    My wife and I still watch the three movies that Hudson did with Doris Day. They are my favorite movies even today. I plan to watch the movie “Giant” Feb 8th at the Dave Elswich Monthly Classic Movie Night when it plays  at the Market Street Theater  at 7pm. Another great movie that Hudson did some great work in.
    Inflation had to be brought down and the liberals said Reagan’s strategy was stupid. However, it worked and the liberals had all criticized it before it was put into practice. William A. Niskanen and Stephen Moore have sent the record straight in their October 22, 1996 paper “Supply-Side Tax Cuts and the Truth about the Reagan Economic Record.” I will be sharing portions of that article with you over the next few days.
    The Reagan-Volcker anti-inflation policy may seem noncontroversial today, but it is noteworthy that at the time the decisions were made, there was very little consensus about how to defeat inflation.
    In 1980, for example,economist Paul Samuelson wrote that “two-digit price inflation is a distinct possibility for much of the decade of the1980s.” He predicted an inflation rate from 1982 to 1987 of 9.4 percent a year. The Democratic party was endorsing a host of inflation-fighting measures that were economically wrongheaded and almost certain to fail. During the 1980 Democratic presidential primaries, Jimmy Carter’s anti-inflation policy included credit controls and gas rationing while Ted Kennedy, his opponent, endorsed wage and price controls.
    Most Keynesian economists had predicted that Reaganomics would make inflation worse, not better. Hobart Rowen of the Washington Post stated the conventional wisdom by arguing that the Kemp-Roth tax cuts would be “dangerously inflationary.”
    He added, “There is nothing in the [Reagan] fiscal program–in the view of those not addicted to supply-side theory–that works against inflation.” James Tobin, a Nobel prize winner and an informal Clinton administration adviser, also had warned of the inflationary impact of Reagan’s tax cuts and had called instead for “a five-year period of gradually declining wage-increase guide-posts.”
    I hate to only give you a portion of the episode “How to Cure Inflation.” Therefore, I gave you the first third this morning and now you can have the 2nd third. I promise to give the last third first thing tomorrow morning.
    Part 2 “How to Cure Inflation” by Milton Friedman in his film series “Free to Choose.” This clip is 9 minutes.
    1980 Reagan commercial
    Little known presidential facts:
    1. Robert Lincoln is the only man in U.S. history known to have witnessed the assassinations of three different presidents, his father, James Garfield, and William McKinley. After he saw anarchist Leon Czolgosz shoot McKinley, he vowed he would never again appear in public with an incumbent president.i
    2. Much has been written about Lincoln-Kennedy assassinations coincidences, including:
      1. Both had seven letters in their last names.
      2. Both were shot in the head on a Friday seated beside their wives.
      3. Lincoln was shot at Ford’s Theatre. Kennedy was shot in a Lincoln Limo, which was made by Ford.
      4. Lincoln was in Box 7 at Ford’s Theatre, and Kennedy was in Car 7 of the Dallas motorcade.
      5. Both assassins had three names with 15 letters (John Wilkes Booth and Lee Harvey Oswald).
      6. Booth shot Lincoln in a theater and was captured in a warehouse. Oswald shot Kennedy in a warehouse and was captured in a theater.
      7. Both were elected to the U.S. House of Representatives for the first time in ’46 (1846/1946), were runners-up for their party’s nomination for vice president in ’56, and were elected president in ’60.
      8. Both were succeeded by southern Democrats named Johnson.k

    Ronald Wilson Reagan Part 24 (How to cure inflation)

    Always at home on the range, President Reagan rides at his California ranch, Rancho del Cielo. He spent 335 days of his eight-year presidency there relaxing.

    President Ronald Reagan’s 100th birthday anniversary

    Always at home on the range, President Reagan rides at his California ranch, Rancho del Cielo. He spent 335 days of his eight-year presidency there relaxing.

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    Ronald Reagan talks about the “American Miracle” that was started with the tax cuts. This is his last speech to the nation as president.

    I knew how to cure inflation a year before Ronald Reagan took office and I had no doubt that if he was elected that he would stop the excessive inflation we had experienced in the late 1970’s. Reagan was an admirer of Milton Friedman and he believed his film series had the answer to the problem of inflation. I also had seen Friedman’s film series and knew that the cure to inflation would work. How did I know that? I had become convinced by watching a 30 minute film  by Milton Friedman. I will show all 30 minutes in the next three posts. Here is the first post:

    Take a look at this 8 minute clip below:

    (R Row, from front to rear) Milton Friedman, George Shultz, Pres. Ronald Reagan, Arthur Burns, William Simon and Walter Wriston & unknown at a meeting of White House economic advisers.
    (R Row, from front to rear) Milton Friedman, George Shultz, Pres. Ronald Reagan, Arthur Burns, William Simon and Walter Wriston & unknown at a meeting of White House economic

    Inflation was very high when Reagan took office and many said Reagan’s plan of tight money for 5 years would not work. William A. Niskanen and Stephen Moore have sent the record straight in their October 22, 1996 paper “Supply-Side Tax Cuts and the Truth about the Reagan Economic Record.” I will be sharing portions of that article with you over the next few days.

    The Federal Reserve, Not Ronald Reagan, Deserves the Credit for Ending the 1970s Era of High Inflation
    One man is more responsible for the political success of the Reagan presidency than any other, and his name is not Ronald Reagan. It is Paul Volcker, the man Jimmy Carter appointed as chairman of the Federal Reserve Board. A relatively stable currency has been the basis . . . for the economic boom of recent years. . . .
    And Volcker did it. In October 1979 he persuaded his colleagues to starve inflation of the dollars it feeds on. President Reagan did little to help. In fact, his deficits worked against Volcker’s efforts (New Republic editorial, September 9, 1985, p. 7).


    The conquering of inflation in a very short time was primarily a result of tightening monetary policy under Federal Reserve Board chairman Paul Volcker. Volcker deserves high praise for the change in policy. But Reagan clearly warrants a large part of the credit for endorsing the overdue correction in Federal Reserve policy from the high-inflation 1970s. A major element of Reaganomics, in addition to the tax cuts, was sound money–a policy the nation had not followed since the late 1960s. The Federal Reserve’s policy of sweating out inflation took place with the explicit approval of the Reagan administration, even though that policy contributed to the deep recession of 1981-82and the unexpectedly large and immediate fall in inflation was a major factor in the budget deficit explosion in the early 1980s.

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    President Reagan and Nancy Reagan talking with James Cagney, recipient of the Medal of Freedom, in the Blue room. 3/26/84.

    Little known presidential facts:

    1. In 1945, Congress voted to commemorate the work FDR did for the March of Dimes by putting his profile on the coin.i
    2. Abraham Lincoln was the first president to ever be photographed at his inauguration. In the photo, he is standing near John Wilkes Booth, his future assassin.k

    Ronald Wilson Reagan Part 23

    President Ronald Reagan’s 100th birthday anniversary

    Former president Ronald Reagan is kissed by Nancy inside their Bel-Air home in Los Angeles on Reagan’s 89th birthday. This is one of the last photos the Reagan family released of the former president, who had been stricken with Alzheimer’s disease.

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    President Reagan talking with Christopher Reeve and Frank Gifford during a reception and picnic in honor of the 15th Anniversary of the Special Olympics program in the Diplomatic Reception room. 6/12/83.

    1984 Reagan commercial

    Frank Gifford is pictured above. He had a long career with the NY Giants and Pat Summerall was one of his teammates during that time. I got to ask Pat Summerall a question at the Little Rock Touchdown Club meeting back in October of 2010. Summerall had pointed out that Tom Landry was the defensive coordinator and Vince Lombardi was the offensive backfield coach when he played for the Giants.  Summerall had shared how he had recovered from his drinking habit and put his faith in Christ and was baptized.

    I simply asked him if he had a chance to interact with any Christian Coaches like Tony Dungy or Tom Landry about his conversion. He said that he told Landry about his conversion and that was the only time he ever saw Landry smile. Walt Garrison told Summerall that he never saw Landry smile but he only played for him for 9 years.

    I have heard over and over that the rich had a smaller tax load under Reagan and everyone else had a bigger tax load. William A. Niskanen and Stephen Moore have sent the record straight in their October 22, 1996 paper “Supply-Side Tax Cuts and the Truth about the Reagan Economic Record.” I will be sharing portions of that article with you over the next few days.

    Here is another myth:

    The Rich Saw Their Tax Bills Go Down in the 1980s While Everyone Else Paid More
    Contrary to popular rhetoric, the wealthiest Americans did not pay less taxes; rather, they paid more taxes after theincome tax rate cuts in 1981. In constant dollars, the richest 10 percent of Americans paid $177 billion in federalincome taxes in 1980 but paid $237 billion in 1988. The remaining 90 percent of households paid $5 billion less inincome taxes over this period.
     They earned more and they paid more. In fact, Federal Reserve Board memberLawrence Lindsey has shown that taxes paid by the wealthy were substantially higher than they would have been if thetop tax rate had remained at 70 percent.
     The share of total income taxes paid by the wealthiest1 percent of all Americans actually rose from 18 percent in 1981 to 25 percent in 1990. The wealthiest 5 percent ofAmericans saw their tax share rise from 35 to 44 percent. So the rise in the deficit was clearly not a result of “tax cuts
    for the rich.”

    Little known presidential facts:

    1. Herbert Hoover was an orphan whose first job was picking bugs off potato plants, for which he was paid a dollar per hundred bugs. He also was a mine worker.b
    2. Gerald Ford worked as a model during college. He also worked as a forest ranger at Yellowstone National Park directing traffic and feeding the bears.a

    Ronald Wilson Reagan Part 22


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    President Ronald Reagan’s 100th birthday anniversary

    From left, Ron Reagan, Michael Wenning, Nancy Reagan, Patti Davis, Ashley Reagan and Michael Reagan pay their respects over the casket of former president Ronald Reagan at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library after a memorial service in Simi Valley, Calif.
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    President Reagan and Nancy Reagan posing for photo with Christie Brinkley, Cheryl Tiegs and Brooke Shields at a Tribute to Bob Hope’s 80th birthday at the Kennedy Center. 5/20/83.
    An address to the nation from the Oval Office on an evening scheduled for the State of the Union address. The space shuttle Challenger was supposed to be the first mission to put a civilian into space. He reminds his audience of the bravery and dedication of those who were killed on the shuttle.
    I grew up in Memphis and Benjamin Hooks was a Baptist minister in Memphis who was the head of the NAACP from 1977 to 1992. I watched with great interest his reaction to his first meeting with President Reagan. He said that Reagan was a kind man, but was misguided concerning how his policies would affect the poor and minorities. Hooks thought these policies of Reagan would hurt the poor.
    William A. Niskanen and Stephen Moore have sent the record straight in their October 22, 1996 paper “Supply-Side Tax Cuts and the Truth about the Reagan Economic Record.” I will be sharing portions of that article with you over the next few days.
    Here is another myth:
    The Poor and Minorities Lost Ground under Reagan’s Economic Policies
    The 1980s was the first decade since the 1930s in which large numbers of Americans actually suffered a serious decline in living standard. 

    The poorest 20 percent of Americans experienced a 6 percent gain in real income in the 1980s and have suffered a 3 percent loss in income in the 1990s. If you compare the income trends of the  poorest fifth of Americans over the past 20 years then the poor did the best during the Reagan years. Black Americans saw their incomes grow at a slightly faster pace (11.0%) than whites (9.8%) in the Reagan years.

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    President Reagan giving remarks after a concert by the Beach Boys during a reception and picnic in honor of the 15th Anniversary of the Special Olympics program on the south lawn. 6/12/83.
    _____________________________________________
    Little known presidential facts:
    1. The three best known Western names in China are Jesus Christ, Elvis Presley, and Richard Nixon.k
    2. John Quincy Adams (1767-1848) would often skinny dip in the Potomac River.i
    3. James Monroe (1758-1831) once chased his Secretary of State from the White House with a pair of fire tongs.i

    Ronald Wilson Reagan Part 21

    I have mentioned earlier that my son Wilson Hatcher was named after Ronald Wilson Reagan. It is fitting that for the first time ever, Wilson had his picture in the Ark Dem Gaz High Profile Section today on the 100 anniversary of Reagan’s birth (Reagan was born on Feb 6, 1911).

    Kahry Wright of Little Rock and Wilson Hatcher of Bryant

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    President Reagan and Nancy Reagan with Princess Caroline and Prince Albert of Monaco after Nancy Reagan’s National Symphony Orchestra Performance of Saint Saens “Carnival of the Animals” at the Kennedy Center. Washington, DC. 3/28/83.

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    Reagan Roast

    The clear facts show that lots of economic growth occurred during the Reagan years, but instead of denying that, lots of liberals just try to get that envy ploy going again. “Only the rich made money in the 1980’s while all the rest of us starved!!!” Many have said that about the success that Reagan had with the economy in the 1980’s. William A. Niskanen and Stephen Moore have sent the record straight in their October 22, 1996 paper “Supply-Side Tax Cuts and the Truth about the Reagan Economic Record.” I will be sharing portions of that article with you over the next few days.

    Here is another myth:

    In the 1980s the Rich Got Richer and the Poor Got Poorer

    During the Reagan years, the total share of national income tilted toward the wealthiest Americans. From 1980 to 1988 the wealthiest 5 percent of Americans increased their share of total income from 16.5 to 18.3 while the poorest fifth saw their share fall from 4.2 to 3.8 percent.

    Yet it is not true that the gains by the wealthiest Americans came at the expense of low-income Americans. From 1981to 1989, every income quintile–from the richest to the poorest–gained income according to the Census Bureaueconomic data.
    The reason the wealthiest Americans saw their share of total income rise is that they gained income at a faster pace than did the middle class and the poor. But Reaganomics did create a rising tide that lifted nearly all boats.
    By 1989 there were 5.9 million more Americans whose salaries exceeded $50,000 a year than there were in 1981 (adjusting for inflation). Similarly, there were 2.5 million more Americans earning more than $75,000 a year, an 83 percent increase. And the number of Americans earning less than $10,000 a year fell by 3.4 million workers.

    The gains in incomes of all income groups is all the more impressive when we examine data on income mobility. Tens
    of millions of Americans moved up the income scale in the 1980s–an economic fact that is obscured when only the static income quintile data from the start of the decade to the end are examined. 86 percent of households that were in the poorest income quintile in 1980 had moved up the economic ladder to a higher income quintile by 1990. Incredibly, a poor household in 1980 was more likely to have moved all the way up to the richest income quintile by 1990 (15 percent) than to still be in the poorest quintile (14 percent).

    President Ronald Reagan’s 100th birthday anniversary

    A statue of Ronald Reagan is unveiled in the U.S. Capitol’s Rotunda in 2009.

    Little known presidential facts:

    1. When Mexican general Santa Ana demanded Zachary Taylor (“Old Rough and Ready,” 1784-1850) to surrender, Taylor said, “Tell him to go to hell.”i
    2. Andrew Jackson was involved in over 100 duels and fights
    3. Andrew Jackson (1767-1845) was reportedly involved in over 100 duels, most to defend the honor of his wife, Rachel. He had a bullet in his chest from an 1806 duel and another bullet in his arm from a barroom fight in 1813 with Missouri senator Thomas Hart Benton.g

    Brantley:Move Jefferson into the 2nd and give Mike Ross Saline County

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    TolbertReport.com – Sen. Gilbert Baker on Redistricting

    New Series on 2012 Congressional Districts Part 2

    Max Brantley in his blog post “Redrawing congressional districts Update,” (Arkansas Times Blog, Feb 3, 2011), asserts, “Here’s an idea: Move Jefferson into the 2nd and give Mike Ross Saline County.”

    The only problem I think the Democrats will experience with that is Tim Griffin’s Democrat opponent only got 38.2% of the vote. Putting Jefferson County into the 2nd district would all but guarantee Joyce Elliott’s Democrat Nomination again and then she would have to pick up about 25,000 votes to get over the hump. Is that possible? At the same time can a Democrat in the South continue to get elected in the next decade with the loss of Jefferson County?

    If Brantley gets his way, we may actually see at some point a switch in both seats but still a 3 to 1 advantage by Republicans. Rolling the dice may give the possibility of  2 and 2 but it may also cause a 4 to 0 sweep by Republicans.

    Yesterday I posted this:  The 2010 Congressional election proved beyond any shadow of a doubt that both Central Arkansas and North West Arkansas voted in Republican Congressmen with large margins. It seems that 125,000 of these voters from these two districts have to be moved to the other two districts (50,000 to 1st where Republican Rick Crawford won close race and 75,000 to 4th where Democrat Mike Ross won with 57% of the vote).

    This is the general problem for Democrats. The state is turning red right before their eyes. I suggest they shove all the Democrats they got into the South and just try to save one district for the Democrats. In 2020 don’t be surprised if the Republicans try to put 55% Republicans in every district and then the Democrats will be wishing they had tried to hold on to at least one seat a little longer.

    Ronald Wilson Reagan Part 20

    President Ronald Reagan’s 100th birthday anniversary

    Says Patti Davis of her father: “If he were here, he would not be at any of the celebrations for himself. He’d be watching the Super Bowl.”

    84 presidential elections ad for Ronald Reagan campaign

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    You will notice the picture of Cary Grant below. I have to admit that I love the movies that Cary Grant did with Alfred Hitchock directing. The background music is tremendous in “North by Northwest.”

    I also was amazed to learn that Hitchock was unable to get permission to shoot at the UN. Therefore, Hitchock set up in a van across the street and with a hidden camera filmed the scene when Grant walks out the front door of the UN. You will notice a person who passes Grant and looks back at him because he just saw a movie star.

    There is no denying the growth in the economy during the Reagan years. So many times liberals will take shots at the nature of that success. William A. Niskanen and Stephen Moore have sent the record straight in their October 22, 1996 paper “Supply-Side Tax Cuts and the Truth about the Reagan Economic Record.” I will be sharing portions of that article with you over the next few days.Here is a myth:

    Workers Had to Work Harder for Smaller Paychecks in the 1980s
    “Caught between the lawmakers in Washington and the dealmakers on Wall Street have been millions of American workers forced to move from jobs that once paid $15 an hour into jobs that now pay $7” (Donald Barlett and James B. Steele, America: What Went Wrong? [Kansas City, Mo.: UniversalPress Syndicate, 1992], p. 3.)

    Barlett and Steele never back up such anecdotal claims with any facts. Here they are: the correct way to measure changes in worker pay from one period to the next is not by examining wages alone, but by tallying the total compensation per hour–a measure that includes wages and benefits–paid to a worker.
    Nonwage benefits havebeen an increasing share of total hourly worker compensation. In 1960, 9 percent of worker compensation was in theform of fringe benefits; in 1975, 16 percent of worker compensation was wage supplements; and by 1990, that percentage had risen to 20 percent.
    So although it is true that average real wages have been falling over the past 20years, real compensation has been generally rising. The average real wage in 1990 dollars fell from about $11.00 anhour in 1980 to about $10.00 in 1988, a 9 percent decline. But real compensation per hour rose from $15.00 per hourin 1981 to $16.50 an hour in 1988.

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    President Reagan talking with Cary Grant and Douglas Fairbanks Jr. at a White House private dinner party in the yellow oval room. 12/4/81.

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    President Reagan meeting with Jerry Falwell in the Oval Office. 3/15/83.

    Little known presidential facts:

    1. No president has ever been an only child.j
    2. At his first inauguration, George Washington added the “so help me God” to the end of the oath of office.b
    3. John Adams’ campaign propaganda against Jefferson said that if Jefferson was elected, “murder, robbery, rape, adultery, and incest will be openly taught and practiced.” They later resolved their differences and wrote many letters to each other.i

    Brummett: What to do with 125,000 new Republican voters in Arkansas?

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    (Video from Robybrock) State Sen. Gilbert Baker discusses moving a portion of Pulaski Co. into Arkansas’ Fourth Congressional District.

    New Series on 2012 Congressional Districts Part 1

    John Brummett in his article “New day confronts congressional districts,” (Arkansas News Bureau, Feb 3, 2011), asserts:

    We now have three Republicans in these four congressional seats. We have Republicans composing more than 40 percent of the Arkansas General Assembly that must redraw the districts in this session. We have a Senate State Agencies Committee, which will consider the matter, that consists of four Democrats and four Republicans.

    Based on still-preliminary numbers and generous rounding, we have the 1st District needing to gain about 50,000 persons; the 2nd District needing to lose about 15,000; the growth hotbed of the 3rd District needing to lose about 110,000; and the 4th District across southern Arkansas needing to gain about 75,000.

    Now let me make an observation. The 2010 Congressional election proved beyond any shadow of a doubt that both Central Arkansas and North West Arkansas voted in Republican Congressmen with large margins. It seems that 125,000 of these voters from these two districts have to be moved to the other two districts (50,000 to 1st where Republican Rick Crawford won close race and 75,000 to 4th where Democrat Mike Ross won with 57% of the vote).  

    Brummett does know how it will all settle out but he puts out a educated guess:

    If Democrats eventually settle on a compromise designed to do as little damage as possible, it probably will look this way:

    The 1st District would be extended westward across northern Arkansas all the way to Marion and Boone counties (arch-conservative Harrison, that is to say) and into a portion of Carroll County, then trade Cleburne County to the 2nd District in exchange for Van Buren County.

    The 2nd, which need not change much, would be taken care of by that Cleburne-Van Buren trade and by losing Yell County and a sliver of Perry County to the 4th District.

    The population-exploding 3rd District would constrict around Washington and Benton Counties but keep Fort Smith and Sebastian County.

    The 4th would reach northward to pick up Franklin and Johnson counties (Ozark, Clarksville) from the 3rd District and Yell County and that sliver of Perry County from the 2nd.

    The real gamble will be if the Democrats try to make a run at the 2nd district. I think that Tim Griffin has a bigger margin of victory now with the rapid growth of Saline County and Faulkner County to work with, and it would take a lot to put him at a disadvantage.